The former US ambassador to Russia, Michael McFaul, has predicted how the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC) on Friday 17 March will impact Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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Vladimir Putin 'will be haunted for the rest of his life'
McFaul wrote on Twitter on Saturday 18 March that 'Putin will be 'haunt(ed) for the rest of his life by warrant' alongside his interview on Friday with NBC News host Chuck Todd on Meet The Press.
Todd said during the interview with McFaul that it is not likely Putin will face charges while he remains in power. While McFaul agreed that Putin will not be arrested anytime soon, he called the ICC's move 'symbolic'. He said:
We want to talk about those crimes that he committed. We want to document them and we want to deter others from possibly participating in the future. I think that's the most important thing
People might think twice. Russians might think twice about committing similar crimes in Ukraine, knowing that they...went after Putin, they can go after you to Mr. Soldier. So I think that's a good thing.
McFaul continued:
This is going to haunt him [Putin] for the rest of his life. He is going to be indicted by them for the rest of his life. He's gonna have to think about where he travels for the rest of his life. And in other cases, I'm thinking of [Slobodan] Milošević when he was initially indicted for crimes against humanity, he laughed it off, [as if it was] no big deal. It became a big deal after he was overthrown and then [he was] eventually arrested.
The International Criminal Court made a historic decision to issue an arrest warrant for Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and Maria Lvova-Belova, the Russian official tied to the forced deportation of Ukrainian children to Russia. Here’s why it is important. Video by @IMatviyishynpic.twitter.com/qkx77GW2ri
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 18, 2023
Vladimir Putin will 'have to choose' between Iran and Belarus
Igor Lukes, a Boston University professor focusing on Eastern European politics and contemporary Russia, agreed with other commentators that the move will further isolate the Russian President.
He told Newsweek on Saturday:
This is good news. No matter how self-evident it may appear, it is nevertheless helpful when a respected legal authority spells it out
The warrant is of great importance. It isolates Putin significantly. If he gets the urge to travel, he will have to choose between scenic Iran and welcoming Belarus. Should he step onto the territory of any of the 123 countries that honor the ICC's ruling, he might get himself arrested.
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Russian propagandist Simonyan is quick to make threats about the arrest warrant.
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) March 17, 2023
She seems to be ready to destroy Putin with that country, too? pic.twitter.com/JiPkoxSdIH
Russians respond to arrest warrant
It comes as Putin's 'mouthpiece', Margarita Simonyan,editor-in-chief of the Russian media organisation RT, responded to the arrest warrant on Telegram. She threatened the country that arrests the Russian President, implying a nuclear bomb on the capital city in eight minutes.
In a screenshot of the Telegram post shared on Twitter by Anton Gerashchenko, Advisor to the Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, he and other Twitter users commenting on the post are quick to point out that any such attack would also kill Putin.
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She realizes that if Russia hits a country where Putin is arrested, Russia will hit Putin as well, right? 😹
— Stardust Collector (@ruinwanderer) March 17, 2023
In another post by Gerashchenko, he shares a video of Moscow residents being interviewed on the street about what they think of the arrest warrant. They all express doubt about the possibility of Putin being arrested, with one claiming 'Putin - no one will arrest him. Rather, he will arrest everyone'. Another one declares 'we will protect him - the people of Russia'.
"We will protect him"
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) March 19, 2023
Russian people do not believe that Putin can be arrested. They didn't believe about Milosevic either, and Gaddafi didn't even make it to court. So there are a lot of different options!
🎥 Ekho Kavkaza pic.twitter.com/VAzNDA3yAX
Sources used:
Newsweek: 'Putin Will Be Haunted by Arrest Warrant for Rest of His Life: Ex-Ambassador'